Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a high near 28°C in Toronto on August 5 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus around the 28–29°C outcomes. Early-August warmth driven by upper-level ridging and residual heat from a t-storm pattern (Aug 1–9) supports the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C at 36% and 28°C at 25.5%, consistent with seasonal norms of mid-20s highs that can briefly reach the upper 20s amid humid air masses. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to onshore flow and shower cooling, while historical analogs indicate rare spikes above 30°C this early in the month without stronger southerly flow. Updated guidance and any overnight model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 5 agosto?
29°C 35%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
26%
29°C
35%
30°C
19%
31°C
8%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 35%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
23°C or below
$8 Vol.
1%
24°C
$8 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$19 Vol.
2%
27°C
$32 Vol.
11%
28°C
$266 Vol.
26%
29°C
$56 Vol.
35%
30°C
$30 Vol.
19%
31°C
$19 Vol.
8%
32°C
$67 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$62 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a high near 28°C in Toronto on August 5 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus around the 28–29°C outcomes. Early-August warmth driven by upper-level ridging and residual heat from a t-storm pattern (Aug 1–9) supports the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C at 36% and 28°C at 25.5%, consistent with seasonal norms of mid-20s highs that can briefly reach the upper 20s amid humid air masses. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to onshore flow and shower cooling, while historical analogs indicate rare spikes above 30°C this early in the month without stronger southerly flow. Updated guidance and any overnight model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$566Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a high near 28°C in Toronto on August 5 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus around the 28–29°C outcomes. Early-August warmth driven by upper-level ridging and residual heat from a t-storm pattern (Aug 1–9) supports the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C at 36% and 28°C at 25.5%, consistent with seasonal norms of mid-20s highs that can briefly reach the upper 20s amid humid air masses. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to onshore flow and shower cooling, while historical analogs indicate rare spikes above 30°C this early in the month without stronger southerly flow. Updated guidance and any overnight model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$566Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a high near 28°C in Toronto on August 5 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus around the 28–29°C outcomes. Early-August warmth driven by upper-level ridging and residual heat from a t-storm pattern (Aug 1–9) supports the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C at 36% and 28°C at 25.5%, consistent with seasonal norms of mid-20s highs that can briefly reach the upper 20s amid humid air masses. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to onshore flow and shower cooling, while historical analogs indicate rare spikes above 30°C this early in the month without stronger southerly flow. Updated guidance and any overnight model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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