Ongoing summer heat across the Korean peninsula, with current conditions featuring clear skies and daytime highs near 33–35°C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, positions 34°C as the market leader. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models show modest warming potential through August 5 under light easterly flow and high humidity that amplifies daytime peaks, while climatological averages for early August hover around 31°C. Recent multi-day heat warnings and above-normal temperatures observed in late July have elevated trader expectations for 34–35°C outcomes, though model spread and possible marine influence from the Yellow Sea introduce uncertainty that caps higher-probability bets above 36°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 5 agosto?
34°C 42%
35°C 30%
33°C 19%
36°C 8%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
42%
35°C
30%
36°C
8%
37°C o superiore
1%
34°C 42%
35°C 30%
33°C 19%
36°C 8%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
42%
35°C
30%
36°C
8%
37°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer heat across the Korean peninsula, with current conditions featuring clear skies and daytime highs near 33–35°C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, positions 34°C as the market leader. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models show modest warming potential through August 5 under light easterly flow and high humidity that amplifies daytime peaks, while climatological averages for early August hover around 31°C. Recent multi-day heat warnings and above-normal temperatures observed in late July have elevated trader expectations for 34–35°C outcomes, though model spread and possible marine influence from the Yellow Sea introduce uncertainty that caps higher-probability bets above 36°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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