Current short-term forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 under cloudy skies with possible light showers and easterly winds, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (47%) and nearby temperatures. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs range 14–18°C with gradual seasonal warming; recent observations show stable mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warming anomalies that would shift probabilities. Model consensus favors this narrow band due to limited diurnal heating under overcast skies, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could adjust implied odds if clearer or windier patterns emerge. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus reflects these verifiable near-term data over longer climatological averages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 15 agosto?
16°C 41%
15°C 25%
17°C 22%
18°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
41%
17°C
22%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 41%
15°C 25%
17°C 22%
18°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
12°C or below
$78 Vol.
1%
13°C
$346 Vol.
3%
14°C
$91 Vol.
5%
15°C
$620 Vol.
25%
16°C
$2,810 Vol.
41%
17°C
$241 Vol.
22%
18°C
$16 Vol.
6%
19°C
$63 Vol.
2%
20°C
$42 Vol.
1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 under cloudy skies with possible light showers and easterly winds, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (47%) and nearby temperatures. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs range 14–18°C with gradual seasonal warming; recent observations show stable mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warming anomalies that would shift probabilities. Model consensus favors this narrow band due to limited diurnal heating under overcast skies, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could adjust implied odds if clearer or windier patterns emerge. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus reflects these verifiable near-term data over longer climatological averages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,404Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 under cloudy skies with possible light showers and easterly winds, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (47%) and nearby temperatures. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs range 14–18°C with gradual seasonal warming; recent observations show stable mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warming anomalies that would shift probabilities. Model consensus favors this narrow band due to limited diurnal heating under overcast skies, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could adjust implied odds if clearer or windier patterns emerge. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus reflects these verifiable near-term data over longer climatological averages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,404Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 under cloudy skies with possible light showers and easterly winds, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (47%) and nearby temperatures. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs range 14–18°C with gradual seasonal warming; recent observations show stable mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warming anomalies that would shift probabilities. Model consensus favors this narrow band due to limited diurnal heating under overcast skies, though minor forecast revisions before resolution could adjust implied odds if clearer or windier patterns emerge. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus reflects these verifiable near-term data over longer climatological averages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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