Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 16 point to a maximum temperature near 28°C (roughly 82–83°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with northerly flow, limit daytime heating and keep values close to the long-term August average of 27–28°C. No anomalous high-pressure systems or heat advection are indicated in recent model runs, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slightly cooler outcomes from increased cloud cover or stronger winds, which could cap peaks below seasonal norms while still ruling out extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 16 agosto?
26°C 54%
25°C 27%
27°C 26%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
48%
27°C
26%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
26°C 54%
25°C 27%
27°C 26%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
6%
23°C
$10 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$12 Vol.
48%
27°C
$6 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$3 Vol.
4%
30°C
$10 Vol.
6%
31°C
$10 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 16 point to a maximum temperature near 28°C (roughly 82–83°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with northerly flow, limit daytime heating and keep values close to the long-term August average of 27–28°C. No anomalous high-pressure systems or heat advection are indicated in recent model runs, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slightly cooler outcomes from increased cloud cover or stronger winds, which could cap peaks below seasonal norms while still ruling out extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$76Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 16 point to a maximum temperature near 28°C (roughly 82–83°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with northerly flow, limit daytime heating and keep values close to the long-term August average of 27–28°C. No anomalous high-pressure systems or heat advection are indicated in recent model runs, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slightly cooler outcomes from increased cloud cover or stronger winds, which could cap peaks below seasonal norms while still ruling out extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 16 point to a maximum temperature near 28°C (roughly 82–83°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, combined with northerly flow, limit daytime heating and keep values close to the long-term August average of 27–28°C. No anomalous high-pressure systems or heat advection are indicated in recent model runs, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for slightly cooler outcomes from increased cloud cover or stronger winds, which could cap peaks below seasonal norms while still ruling out extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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