Low summer transmission drives the closely matched 50% implied probabilities across <0.1, 0.1, and >0.1 per 100,000 for the CDC FluSurv-NET rate in Week 33. Official surveillance through Week 32 shows influenza activity at seasonal lows, with only 0.7% of respiratory specimens positive and hospitalization rates holding at or below 0.1 since late May, consistent with historical off-season patterns after the 2025-2026 season peaked earlier. Warmer temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and school recess limit viral spread, though minor week-to-week fluctuations from reporting lags or sporadic cases can shift the precise decimal reading. Traders weigh the likelihood of continued suppression against any early uptick ahead of the next FluView release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTasso di ospedalizzazione per influenza Settimana 33, 2026?
Tasso di ospedalizzazione per influenza Settimana 33, 2026?
<0,1 50%
0,1 50%
>0,1 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
<0,1
50%
0,1
50%
>0,1
50%
<0,1 50%
0,1 50%
>0,1 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
<0,1
$0 Vol.
50%
0,1
$0 Vol.
50%
>0,1
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Low summer transmission drives the closely matched 50% implied probabilities across <0.1, 0.1, and >0.1 per 100,000 for the CDC FluSurv-NET rate in Week 33. Official surveillance through Week 32 shows influenza activity at seasonal lows, with only 0.7% of respiratory specimens positive and hospitalization rates holding at or below 0.1 since late May, consistent with historical off-season patterns after the 2025-2026 season peaked earlier. Warmer temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and school recess limit viral spread, though minor week-to-week fluctuations from reporting lags or sporadic cases can shift the precise decimal reading. Traders weigh the likelihood of continued suppression against any early uptick ahead of the next FluView release.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Low summer transmission drives the closely matched 50% implied probabilities across <0.1, 0.1, and >0.1 per 100,000 for the CDC FluSurv-NET rate in Week 33. Official surveillance through Week 32 shows influenza activity at seasonal lows, with only 0.7% of respiratory specimens positive and hospitalization rates holding at or below 0.1 since late May, consistent with historical off-season patterns after the 2025-2026 season peaked earlier. Warmer temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and school recess limit viral spread, though minor week-to-week fluctuations from reporting lags or sporadic cases can shift the precise decimal reading. Traders weigh the likelihood of continued suppression against any early uptick ahead of the next FluView release.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$0Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Low summer transmission drives the closely matched 50% implied probabilities across <0.1, 0.1, and >0.1 per 100,000 for the CDC FluSurv-NET rate in Week 33. Official surveillance through Week 32 shows influenza activity at seasonal lows, with only 0.7% of respiratory specimens positive and hospitalization rates holding at or below 0.1 since late May, consistent with historical off-season patterns after the 2025-2026 season peaked earlier. Warmer temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and school recess limit viral spread, though minor week-to-week fluctuations from reporting lags or sporadic cases can shift the precise decimal reading. Traders weigh the likelihood of continued suppression against any early uptick ahead of the next FluView release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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