Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability due to its status as the final season following CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and momentum from last year’s win in the prior talk series category. The new area-award format requires each nominee to clear a high voter-approval threshold, yet the show’s strong guild recognition, critical standing, and emotional farewell narrative position it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The other nominees trail as voters weigh Colbert’s swan-song appeal against Last Week Tonight’s critical depth, Kimmel’s visibility, SNL’s legacy, and The Daily Show’s consistency, with final-round voting already concluded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: serie di varietà eccezionali
Emmy 2026: serie di varietà eccezionali
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.3%
‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’ 4.5%
“Saturday Night Live” 2.5%
$108,176 Vol.
$108,176 Vol.
14 set 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
8%
‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’
5%
“Saturday Night Live”
2%
“The Daily Show”
2%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.3%
‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’ 4.5%
“Saturday Night Live” 2.5%
$108,176 Vol.
$108,176 Vol.
14 set 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$35,397 Vol.
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$20,618 Vol.
8%
‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’
$25,472 Vol.
5%
“Saturday Night Live”
$12,818 Vol.
2%
“The Daily Show”
$13,870 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability due to its status as the final season following CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and momentum from last year’s win in the prior talk series category. The new area-award format requires each nominee to clear a high voter-approval threshold, yet the show’s strong guild recognition, critical standing, and emotional farewell narrative position it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The other nominees trail as voters weigh Colbert’s swan-song appeal against Last Week Tonight’s critical depth, Kimmel’s visibility, SNL’s legacy, and The Daily Show’s consistency, with final-round voting already concluded.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volume
$108,176Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability due to its status as the final season following CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and momentum from last year’s win in the prior talk series category. The new area-award format requires each nominee to clear a high voter-approval threshold, yet the show’s strong guild recognition, critical standing, and emotional farewell narrative position it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The other nominees trail as voters weigh Colbert’s swan-song appeal against Last Week Tonight’s critical depth, Kimmel’s visibility, SNL’s legacy, and The Daily Show’s consistency, with final-round voting already concluded.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,176Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Colbert’s “The Late Show” leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability due to its status as the final season following CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and momentum from last year’s win in the prior talk series category. The new area-award format requires each nominee to clear a high voter-approval threshold, yet the show’s strong guild recognition, critical standing, and emotional farewell narrative position it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The other nominees trail as voters weigh Colbert’s swan-song appeal against Last Week Tonight’s critical depth, Kimmel’s visibility, SNL’s legacy, and The Daily Show’s consistency, with final-round voting already concluded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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