Canada's July 2026 monthly GDP is positioned for flat or modestly positive growth, with trader consensus heavily favoring a 0.0-0.1% outcome. Statistics Canada's preliminary estimate showed no change from June's revised 0.3% gain, as gains in real estate, rental, leasing, and professional services offset declines in retail trade and manufacturing. July merchandise trade data reinforced this outlook, with exports falling 2.3% amid lower energy and gold shipments while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus and signaling a partial reversal of Q2 net-export strength. Broader context includes solid 3.3% annualized Q2 GDP expansion led by exports and investment, tempered by ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainties and subdued near-term momentum in Bank of Canada projections. The final July reading is due September 29.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,0 a 0,1% 61%
<0,0% 25%
0,2% a 0,3% 13%
0,6 a 0,7% 5.5%
<0,0%
25%
0,0 a 0,1%
61%
0,2% a 0,3%
13%
0,4% - 0,5%
2%
0,6 a 0,7%
6%
0,8%+
<1%
0,0 a 0,1% 61%
<0,0% 25%
0,2% a 0,3% 13%
0,6 a 0,7% 5.5%
<0,0%
25%
0,0 a 0,1%
61%
0,2% a 0,3%
13%
0,4% - 0,5%
2%
0,6 a 0,7%
6%
0,8%+
<1%
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Canada's July 2026 monthly GDP is positioned for flat or modestly positive growth, with trader consensus heavily favoring a 0.0-0.1% outcome. Statistics Canada's preliminary estimate showed no change from June's revised 0.3% gain, as gains in real estate, rental, leasing, and professional services offset declines in retail trade and manufacturing. July merchandise trade data reinforced this outlook, with exports falling 2.3% amid lower energy and gold shipments while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus and signaling a partial reversal of Q2 net-export strength. Broader context includes solid 3.3% annualized Q2 GDP expansion led by exports and investment, tempered by ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainties and subdued near-term momentum in Bank of Canada projections. The final July reading is due September 29.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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