Kevin Mullin, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic due to its partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Mullin's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited scope for a Republican upset absent a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift before November. The general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-15
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-15
$121,677 Vol.
$121,677 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$121,677 Vol.
$121,677 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$93,610 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$28,067 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kevin Mullin, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic due to its partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Mullin's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited scope for a Republican upset absent a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift before November. The general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$121,677Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kevin Mullin, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic due to its partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Mullin's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited scope for a Republican upset absent a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift before November. The general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$121,677Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kevin Mullin, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic due to its partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Mullin's established fundraising and organizational edge. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited scope for a Republican upset absent a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift before November. The general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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