**The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive increase—has anchored trader expectations for an October pause.** Stronger-than-anticipated 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor export momentum, alongside core inflation at 2.6% in July and a 2.5% full-year forecast, prompted the preemptive tightening to contain demand pressures and financial-stability risks from household debt and housing prices. The updated dot plot points to a median 3.25% terminal rate, but Governor Shin indicated the October meeting will be data-dependent, with incoming Q2 GDP, August–September inflation prints, and nominal growth figures likely to determine whether further action is required. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, pricing a high probability of no change while leaving room for a modest additional hike if inflation reaccelerates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun cambiamento 76%
Aumento di 25 punti base 22%
Aumento di 50+ punti base 4.3%
Taglio di 25 punti base 3.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ott 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
4%
Nessun cambiamento
76%
Aumento di 25 punti base
22%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
4%
Nessun cambiamento 76%
Aumento di 25 punti base 22%
Aumento di 50+ punti base 4.3%
Taglio di 25 punti base 3.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ott 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
$128 Vol.
1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
$278 Vol.
4%
Nessun cambiamento
$5,373 Vol.
76%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$1,224 Vol.
22%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
$219 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive increase—has anchored trader expectations for an October pause.** Stronger-than-anticipated 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor export momentum, alongside core inflation at 2.6% in July and a 2.5% full-year forecast, prompted the preemptive tightening to contain demand pressures and financial-stability risks from household debt and housing prices. The updated dot plot points to a median 3.25% terminal rate, but Governor Shin indicated the October meeting will be data-dependent, with incoming Q2 GDP, August–September inflation prints, and nominal growth figures likely to determine whether further action is required. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, pricing a high probability of no change while leaving room for a modest additional hike if inflation reaccelerates.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$7,222Data di fine
22 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive increase—has anchored trader expectations for an October pause.** Stronger-than-anticipated 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor export momentum, alongside core inflation at 2.6% in July and a 2.5% full-year forecast, prompted the preemptive tightening to contain demand pressures and financial-stability risks from household debt and housing prices. The updated dot plot points to a median 3.25% terminal rate, but Governor Shin indicated the October meeting will be data-dependent, with incoming Q2 GDP, August–September inflation prints, and nominal growth figures likely to determine whether further action is required. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, pricing a high probability of no change while leaving room for a modest additional hike if inflation reaccelerates.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$7,222Data di fine
22 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive increase—has anchored trader expectations for an October pause.** Stronger-than-anticipated 2026 GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% on semiconductor export momentum, alongside core inflation at 2.6% in July and a 2.5% full-year forecast, prompted the preemptive tightening to contain demand pressures and financial-stability risks from household debt and housing prices. The updated dot plot points to a median 3.25% terminal rate, but Governor Shin indicated the October meeting will be data-dependent, with incoming Q2 GDP, August–September inflation prints, and nominal growth figures likely to determine whether further action is required. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, pricing a high probability of no change while leaving room for a modest additional hike if inflation reaccelerates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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