The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to raise the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.00% for the second consecutive meeting anchors current pricing for the November outcome, reflecting persistent core inflation at 2.6% in July, headline inflation forecasts of 2.7% for 2026, and upgraded GDP growth of 3.3% driven by semiconductor exports. The board’s updated dot plot shows a median endpoint of 3.25% over the next six months, with analysts citing financial-stability risks in the housing market and a need for gradual tightening as key influences on the 40% implied probability of a further 25-basis-point hike versus the 53.5% chance of a hold. Incoming data through October, including August-September inflation and second-quarter nominal GDP, will shape expectations ahead of the next policy meetings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun cambiamento 54%
Aumento di 25 punti base 40%
Taglio di 25 punti base 7.0%
Taglio di 50+ punti base 1.5%
Taglio di 50+ punti base
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Taglio di 25 punti base
12%
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54%
Aumento di 25 punti base
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Aumento di 50+ punti base
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Nessun cambiamento 54%
Aumento di 25 punti base 40%
Taglio di 25 punti base 7.0%
Taglio di 50+ punti base 1.5%
Taglio di 50+ punti base
2%
Taglio di 25 punti base
12%
Nessun cambiamento
54%
Aumento di 25 punti base
40%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s August 27 decision to raise the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.00% for the second consecutive meeting anchors current pricing for the November outcome, reflecting persistent core inflation at 2.6% in July, headline inflation forecasts of 2.7% for 2026, and upgraded GDP growth of 3.3% driven by semiconductor exports. The board’s updated dot plot shows a median endpoint of 3.25% over the next six months, with analysts citing financial-stability risks in the housing market and a need for gradual tightening as key influences on the 40% implied probability of a further 25-basis-point hike versus the 53.5% chance of a hold. Incoming data through October, including August-September inflation and second-quarter nominal GDP, will shape expectations ahead of the next policy meetings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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