Skip to main content
icon for Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Politik·Venezuela

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

icon for Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Politik·Venezuela

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

4% peluang
Polymarket

$147,382 Vol.

4% peluang
Polymarket

$147,382 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic engagement and the absence of sustained U.S. military preparations have anchored trader consensus against a 2026 U.S. invasion of Colombia. Early-year rhetoric from U.S. officials referencing counter-narcotics strikes followed the January intervention in Venezuela, prompting Colombian statements on sovereignty and defense readiness. Subsequent bilateral meetings, including a February summit, shifted emphasis toward cooperation on drug trafficking and border issues rather than escalation. Colombia's May 2026 elections and ongoing diplomatic channels further reduced near-term intervention risks. While late-breaking crises in narcotics flows, leadership changes, or renewed tensions could theoretically reopen the possibility, no verified troop movements, congressional authorizations, or operational timelines currently support such an outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$147,382
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic engagement and the absence of sustained U.S. military preparations have anchored trader consensus against a 2026 U.S. invasion of Colombia. Early-year rhetoric from U.S. officials referencing counter-narcotics strikes followed the January intervention in Venezuela, prompting Colombian statements on sovereignty and defense readiness. Subsequent bilateral meetings, including a February summit, shifted emphasis toward cooperation on drug trafficking and border issues rather than escalation. Colombia's May 2026 elections and ongoing diplomatic channels further reduced near-term intervention risks. While late-breaking crises in narcotics flows, leadership changes, or renewed tensions could theoretically reopen the possibility, no verified troop movements, congressional authorizations, or operational timelines currently support such an outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$147,382
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Terkait

icon for Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

3%
icon for Apakah AS akan menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?

Apakah AS akan menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?

10%
Ya
icon for Apakah AS akan menginvasi Venezuela sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

Apakah AS akan menginvasi Venezuela sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

5%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 4¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $147.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?" adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.