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Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

icon for Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

10% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
10% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has advanced his 20-point Gaza peace plan through the Board of Peace, which he chairs from Washington, focusing on reconstruction, demilitarization, and a multinational stabilization force rather than direct engagement on the ground. Recent developments, including the July 2026 announcement of a Hamas disarmament agreement and ongoing implementation hurdles with Israeli coordination, underscore diplomatic oversight via the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and international partners without scheduled presidential travel. Persistent security risks, the absence of any confirmed itinerary or statements indicating a visit, and the plan’s emphasis on technocratic governance structures align with trader consensus that a 2026 trip remains improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$56
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has advanced his 20-point Gaza peace plan through the Board of Peace, which he chairs from Washington, focusing on reconstruction, demilitarization, and a multinational stabilization force rather than direct engagement on the ground. Recent developments, including the July 2026 announcement of a Hamas disarmament agreement and ongoing implementation hurdles with Israeli coordination, underscore diplomatic oversight via the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and international partners without scheduled presidential travel. Persistent security risks, the absence of any confirmed itinerary or statements indicating a visit, and the plan’s emphasis on technocratic governance structures align with trader consensus that a 2026 trip remains improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$56
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 10% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 10¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 10% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?" adalah 10% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 10% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.