Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district against Democrat Mitchell Berman, who secured the nomination in the August 11 primary. The seat carries a modest Republican lean following redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville while removing portions of suburban Waukesha County. Steil’s prior general-election margins, including 54 percent in 2024, combined with incumbency advantages and limited national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 68.5 percent. Berman’s primary victory and the district’s updated boundaries introduce some uncertainty, supporting the 31.5 percent Democratic share as the race heads toward the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
27%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$4,843 Vol.
71%
Democratic Party
$4,070 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district against Democrat Mitchell Berman, who secured the nomination in the August 11 primary. The seat carries a modest Republican lean following redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville while removing portions of suburban Waukesha County. Steil’s prior general-election margins, including 54 percent in 2024, combined with incumbency advantages and limited national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 68.5 percent. Berman’s primary victory and the district’s updated boundaries introduce some uncertainty, supporting the 31.5 percent Democratic share as the race heads toward the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$8,912Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district against Democrat Mitchell Berman, who secured the nomination in the August 11 primary. The seat carries a modest Republican lean following redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville while removing portions of suburban Waukesha County. Steil’s prior general-election margins, including 54 percent in 2024, combined with incumbency advantages and limited national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 68.5 percent. Berman’s primary victory and the district’s updated boundaries introduce some uncertainty, supporting the 31.5 percent Democratic share as the race heads toward the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,912Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district against Democrat Mitchell Berman, who secured the nomination in the August 11 primary. The seat carries a modest Republican lean following redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville while removing portions of suburban Waukesha County. Steil’s prior general-election margins, including 54 percent in 2024, combined with incumbency advantages and limited national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 68.5 percent. Berman’s primary victory and the district’s updated boundaries introduce some uncertainty, supporting the 31.5 percent Democratic share as the race heads toward the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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