President Donald Trump's October 2025 social media directive instructed the Department of Defense to begin nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with other nations, citing Russian and Chinese programs, ending a U.S. moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent clarifications from the Department of Energy emphasized that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical or non-critical experiments consistent with longstanding stockpile stewardship. The National Nuclear Security Administration maintains readiness for an underground explosive test within 24–36 months of a presidential decision, though no dedicated funding supports immediate execution. Russia responded by directing proposals for its own potential resumption, while legislation has been introduced requiring congressional approval before any U.S. explosive test. These developments, alongside debates over zero-yield standards and verification concerns, shape trader assessments of timelines and definitions for market resolution.
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$668,887 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
30 Juni 2026
1%
30 September 2026
5%
31 Desember 2026
8%
$668,887 Vol.
30 Juni 2026
$41,041 Vol.
1%
30 September 2026
$7,044 Vol.
5%
31 Desember 2026
$10,584 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's October 2025 social media directive instructed the Department of Defense to begin nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with other nations, citing Russian and Chinese programs, ending a U.S. moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent clarifications from the Department of Energy emphasized that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical or non-critical experiments consistent with longstanding stockpile stewardship. The National Nuclear Security Administration maintains readiness for an underground explosive test within 24–36 months of a presidential decision, though no dedicated funding supports immediate execution. Russia responded by directing proposals for its own potential resumption, while legislation has been introduced requiring congressional approval before any U.S. explosive test. These developments, alongside debates over zero-yield standards and verification concerns, shape trader assessments of timelines and definitions for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$668,887Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's October 2025 social media directive instructed the Department of Defense to begin nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with other nations, citing Russian and Chinese programs, ending a U.S. moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent clarifications from the Department of Energy emphasized that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical or non-critical experiments consistent with longstanding stockpile stewardship. The National Nuclear Security Administration maintains readiness for an underground explosive test within 24–36 months of a presidential decision, though no dedicated funding supports immediate execution. Russia responded by directing proposals for its own potential resumption, while legislation has been introduced requiring congressional approval before any U.S. explosive test. These developments, alongside debates over zero-yield standards and verification concerns, shape trader assessments of timelines and definitions for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$668,887Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's October 2025 social media directive instructed the Department of Defense to begin nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with other nations, citing Russian and Chinese programs, ending a U.S. moratorium in place since 1992. Subsequent clarifications from the Department of Energy emphasized that no full-yield explosive tests are planned, focusing instead on subcritical or non-critical experiments consistent with longstanding stockpile stewardship. The National Nuclear Security Administration maintains readiness for an underground explosive test within 24–36 months of a presidential decision, though no dedicated funding supports immediate execution. Russia responded by directing proposals for its own potential resumption, while legislation has been introduced requiring congressional approval before any U.S. explosive test. These developments, alongside debates over zero-yield standards and verification concerns, shape trader assessments of timelines and definitions for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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