Recent House passage of the narrower Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which restricts new stock purchases by members and families but permits retention of holdings and conditional sales, has not altered expectations for a comprehensive ban. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divides, with minimal Democratic backing due to concerns the measure falls short of a full prohibition on trading or ownership. Senate counterparts, including S.1879 introduced in 2025, remain stalled in committee amid competing priorities and institutional resistance. These procedural and political barriers make enactment of legislation meeting the market's stricter criteria unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7% peluang
$19,679 Vol.
$19,679 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% peluang
$19,679 Vol.
$19,679 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent House passage of the narrower Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which restricts new stock purchases by members and families but permits retention of holdings and conditional sales, has not altered expectations for a comprehensive ban. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divides, with minimal Democratic backing due to concerns the measure falls short of a full prohibition on trading or ownership. Senate counterparts, including S.1879 introduced in 2025, remain stalled in committee amid competing priorities and institutional resistance. These procedural and political barriers make enactment of legislation meeting the market's stricter criteria unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volume
$19,679Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent House passage of the narrower Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which restricts new stock purchases by members and families but permits retention of holdings and conditional sales, has not altered expectations for a comprehensive ban. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divides, with minimal Democratic backing due to concerns the measure falls short of a full prohibition on trading or ownership. Senate counterparts, including S.1879 introduced in 2025, remain stalled in committee amid competing priorities and institutional resistance. These procedural and political barriers make enactment of legislation meeting the market's stricter criteria unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,679Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent House passage of the narrower Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which restricts new stock purchases by members and families but permits retention of holdings and conditional sales, has not altered expectations for a comprehensive ban. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divides, with minimal Democratic backing due to concerns the measure falls short of a full prohibition on trading or ownership. Senate counterparts, including S.1879 introduced in 2025, remain stalled in committee amid competing priorities and institutional resistance. These procedural and political barriers make enactment of legislation meeting the market's stricter criteria unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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