US diplomatic efforts led by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in early September 2026 produced no breakthrough after meetings with Russian and Ukrainian leaders, with Moscow signaling openness to resumed trilateral talks but describing any details on timing or venue as premature. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas, neutrality commitments, military limits, and security guarantees remain unresolved since the last formal round in February 2026. Russian forces continue incremental advances amid ongoing strikes, while both sides show limited willingness to accept the other’s conditions for a comprehensive settlement. These entrenched positions and the short window to year-end underpin the 86.5% trader consensus against a signed peace deal before 2027.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui14% peluang
$2,695,054 Vol.
$2,695,054 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% peluang
$2,695,054 Vol.
$2,695,054 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US diplomatic efforts led by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in early September 2026 produced no breakthrough after meetings with Russian and Ukrainian leaders, with Moscow signaling openness to resumed trilateral talks but describing any details on timing or venue as premature. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas, neutrality commitments, military limits, and security guarantees remain unresolved since the last formal round in February 2026. Russian forces continue incremental advances amid ongoing strikes, while both sides show limited willingness to accept the other’s conditions for a comprehensive settlement. These entrenched positions and the short window to year-end underpin the 86.5% trader consensus against a signed peace deal before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,695,054Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US diplomatic efforts led by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in early September 2026 produced no breakthrough after meetings with Russian and Ukrainian leaders, with Moscow signaling openness to resumed trilateral talks but describing any details on timing or venue as premature. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas, neutrality commitments, military limits, and security guarantees remain unresolved since the last formal round in February 2026. Russian forces continue incremental advances amid ongoing strikes, while both sides show limited willingness to accept the other’s conditions for a comprehensive settlement. These entrenched positions and the short window to year-end underpin the 86.5% trader consensus against a signed peace deal before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,695,054Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US diplomatic efforts led by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in early September 2026 produced no breakthrough after meetings with Russian and Ukrainian leaders, with Moscow signaling openness to resumed trilateral talks but describing any details on timing or venue as premature. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas, neutrality commitments, military limits, and security guarantees remain unresolved since the last formal round in February 2026. Russian forces continue incremental advances amid ongoing strikes, while both sides show limited willingness to accept the other’s conditions for a comprehensive settlement. These entrenched positions and the short window to year-end underpin the 86.5% trader consensus against a signed peace deal before 2027.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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