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icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Lei Paasi 32%

Samiuela Vea 29%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 28%

Alvin Lafu Sika 25%

Polymarket
BARU

Lei Paasi 32%

Samiuela Vea 29%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 28%

Alvin Lafu Sika 25%

Polymarket
BARU

Lei Paasi

$29 Vol.

32%

Samiuela Vea

$29 Vol.

29%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$29 Vol.

28%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$29 Vol.

25%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$29 Vol.

25%

'Olioni Manoa

$29 Vol.

24%

'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$29 Vol.

23%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$29 Vol.

23%

Mounu Uaisele

$349 Vol.

10%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The crowded field of nine candidates for the Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October has produced closely matched probabilities, reflecting vote fragmentation in Tonga’s first-past-the-post system. The vacancy arose after Semisi Sika was unseated by parliament following his 2025 election conviction on bribery and campaign finance violations, with the prior incumbent ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi opting not to stand. Recent nominations on 2–3 September confirmed a split among local contenders including Malakai Koloamatangi, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, Mele ‘Amanaki, and Mounu Uaisele, with some prospective entrants withdrawing to consolidate support behind others. Absent recent polling data or dominant endorsements, trader consensus shows no single frontrunner, leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to shift the outcome.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$582
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The crowded field of nine candidates for the Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October has produced closely matched probabilities, reflecting vote fragmentation in Tonga’s first-past-the-post system. The vacancy arose after Semisi Sika was unseated by parliament following his 2025 election conviction on bribery and campaign finance violations, with the prior incumbent ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi opting not to stand. Recent nominations on 2–3 September confirmed a split among local contenders including Malakai Koloamatangi, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, Mele ‘Amanaki, and Mounu Uaisele, with some prospective entrants withdrawing to consolidate support behind others. Absent recent polling data or dominant endorsements, trader consensus shows no single frontrunner, leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to shift the outcome.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$582
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lei Paasi" di 32%, diikuti oleh "Samiuela Vea" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 32¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah "Lei Paasi" di 32%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Samiuela Vea" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.