Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

icon for Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 56%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 46%

Sione Tuifio Hui 46%

Sitiveni Selui 46%

Polymarket
BARU

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 56%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 46%

Sione Tuifio Hui 46%

Sitiveni Selui 46%

Polymarket
BARU

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$0 Vol.

56%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$0 Vol.

46%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$0 Vol.

46%

Sitiveni Selui

$0 Vol.

46%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$0 Vol.

33%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s decision to void the 2025 result after convicting the prior winner of bribery tied to voter distributions. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing primary support from specific villages across the small Niuas constituency. With no dominant frontrunner or recent polling to clarify preferences, trader consensus reflects evenly matched probabilities across the field. Village-level loyalties, the limited electorate, and absence of major endorsements or campaign developments have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped. The outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and localized mobilization in the final weeks before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court’s decision to void the 2025 result after convicting the prior winner of bribery tied to voter distributions. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing primary support from specific villages across the small Niuas constituency. With no dominant frontrunner or recent polling to clarify preferences, trader consensus reflects evenly matched probabilities across the field. Village-level loyalties, the limited electorate, and absence of major endorsements or campaign developments have kept implied probabilities tightly grouped. The outcome will hinge on turnout patterns and localized mobilization in the final weeks before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

Will Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

42%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" di 56%, diikuti oleh "'Aisake Hoatatau Finau" di 46%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" adalah "'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "'Aisake Hoatatau Finau" di 46%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.