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icon for Texas Governor Election Winner

Texas Governor Election Winner

icon for Texas Governor Election Winner

Texas Governor Election Winner

Polymarket

$91,979 Vol.

Polymarket

$91,979 Vol.

icon for Greg Abbott (R)

Greg Abbott (R)

$40,676 Vol.

81%

icon for Gina Hinojosa (D)

Gina Hinojosa (D)

$51,304 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Greg Abbott holds a strong position as the three-term Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the solidly Republican-leaning state, supported by superior name recognition, a massive fundraising edge exceeding $67 million cash on hand versus roughly $3 million for challenger Gina Hinojosa, and an 82 percent primary win. Recent late-August polling aggregates show Abbott leading Hinojosa by 3 to 5 points among likely voters, narrower than his 2022 margin but still consistent with historical patterns for Texas governors. Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee after a March primary victory, has focused on affordability, education, and property taxes while narrowing gaps in some surveys amid shifting Latino voter sentiment. Prediction market pricing reflects traders' emphasis on incumbency advantages and Texas electoral fundamentals over the compressed polling spread, with the November 3 general election two months away.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$91,979
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Greg Abbott holds a strong position as the three-term Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the solidly Republican-leaning state, supported by superior name recognition, a massive fundraising edge exceeding $67 million cash on hand versus roughly $3 million for challenger Gina Hinojosa, and an 82 percent primary win. Recent late-August polling aggregates show Abbott leading Hinojosa by 3 to 5 points among likely voters, narrower than his 2022 margin but still consistent with historical patterns for Texas governors. Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee after a March primary victory, has focused on affordability, education, and property taxes while narrowing gaps in some surveys amid shifting Latino voter sentiment. Prediction market pricing reflects traders' emphasis on incumbency advantages and Texas electoral fundamentals over the compressed polling spread, with the November 3 general election two months away.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$91,979
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Texas Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Greg Abbott (R)" di 81%, diikuti oleh "Gina Hinojosa (D) " di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 81¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Texas Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $92K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Texas Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Texas Governor Election Winner" adalah "Greg Abbott (R)" di 81%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gina Hinojosa (D) " di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Texas Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.