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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California

icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California

Xavier Becerra 92.5%

Steve Hilton 5.8%

Chad Bianco <1%

Tom Steyer <1%

Polymarket

$40,777,598 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 92.5%

Steve Hilton 5.8%

Chad Bianco <1%

Tom Steyer <1%

Polymarket

$40,777,598 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$1,822,539 Vol.

93%

Steve Hilton

$2,663,125 Vol.

6%

Chad Bianco

$1,945,781 Vol.

<1%

Tom Steyer

$4,784,907 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$1,797,366 Vol.

<1%

Katie Porter

$1,770,116 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$1,572,637 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$1,748,031 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$1,828,759 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$1,431,187 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$1,425,614 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$1,094,831 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$1,497,145 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$1,567,125 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$1,262,294 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$1,996,495 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$1,617,980 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$1,313,394 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$1,557,563 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$1,396,552 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$1,546,571 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$1,778,280 Vol.

<1%

Matt Mahan

$1,359,306 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race due to his advancement from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican Steve Hilton and sustained double-digit leads in subsequent polls among likely voters. As the Democratic nominee in a state with a strong partisan tilt, Becerra benefits from party consolidation behind his candidacy, his prior roles as state attorney general and U.S. health secretary, and voter priorities around healthcare costs, economic pressures, and state-federal relations. Recent surveys, including UC Berkeley and others conducted through mid-August, show him ahead of Hilton by margins of 18 to 25 points. Hilton's prospects remain limited by the structural challenges facing Republicans in California general elections. A shift in this outlook would require major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or abrupt change in the state's political environment before November 3.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$40,777,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California gubernatorial race due to his advancement from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican Steve Hilton and sustained double-digit leads in subsequent polls among likely voters. As the Democratic nominee in a state with a strong partisan tilt, Becerra benefits from party consolidation behind his candidacy, his prior roles as state attorney general and U.S. health secretary, and voter priorities around healthcare costs, economic pressures, and state-federal relations. Recent surveys, including UC Berkeley and others conducted through mid-August, show him ahead of Hilton by margins of 18 to 25 points. Hilton's prospects remain limited by the structural challenges facing Republicans in California general elections. A shift in this outlook would require major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or abrupt change in the state's political environment before November 3.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$40,777,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Xavier Becerra" di 93%, diikuti oleh "Steve Hilton" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 93¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 93% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" telah menghasilkan $40.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 9, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" adalah "Xavier Becerra" di 93%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 93% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Steve Hilton" di 6%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.