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Politik·Bolojan

Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by...?
Politik·Bolojan

Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

$111,932 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$111,932 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$345 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$5 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's ongoing political deadlock, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU coalition government, centers on repeated failures to form a stable cabinet. President Nicușor Dan has nominated successive prime minister-designates, but two attempts—including Adrian Vestea's in June—failed to secure parliamentary majorities amid fragmented parties, PSD-AUR opposition coordination, and summer recess delays. Romanian constitutional rules allow the president to dissolve parliament and call snap elections if two nominees fail confidence votes within 60 days, though Dan has previously signaled reluctance. Traders monitor coalition talks resuming after August recess, PSD calls for early polls, risks to EU recovery funds, and any further nominee rejections as key catalysts that could activate dissolution powers before the 2028 regular election deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$111,932
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's ongoing political deadlock, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU coalition government, centers on repeated failures to form a stable cabinet. President Nicușor Dan has nominated successive prime minister-designates, but two attempts—including Adrian Vestea's in June—failed to secure parliamentary majorities amid fragmented parties, PSD-AUR opposition coordination, and summer recess delays. Romanian constitutional rules allow the president to dissolve parliament and call snap elections if two nominees fail confidence votes within 60 days, though Dan has previously signaled reluctance. Traders monitor coalition talks resuming after August recess, PSD calls for early polls, risks to EU recovery funds, and any further nominee rejections as key catalysts that could activate dissolution powers before the 2028 regular election deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$111,932
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 24%, diikuti oleh "August 31" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 24¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" telah menghasilkan $111.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" adalah "December 31" di 24%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "August 31" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.