Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 52%
<40 31%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$215,318 Vol.
$215,318 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
31%
40-64
52%
65-89
17%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
<40 31%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.5%
$215,318 Vol.
$215,318 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
$30,772 Vol.
31%
40-64
$24,027 Vol.
52%
65-89
$17,905 Vol.
17%
90-114
$29,416 Vol.
2%
115-139
$41,474 Vol.
1%
140-164
$16,522 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$28,187 Vol.
1%
190-214
$14,520 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$8,044 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$215,318Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$215,318Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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