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Geopolitik·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: July

icon for Nothing Ever Happens: July
Geopolitik·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Jul 31

Aug 31

Dec 31

Jul 31

Aug 31

Dec 31

Nothing

>99% peluang
Polymarket

$97,399 Vol.

Nothing

>99% peluang
Polymarket

$97,399 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf**Nothing Ever Happens: July** resolves to “Nothing” at 100% because none of the specified triggers materialized by the July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline. Key conditions include a U.S. or African nation winning the World Cup, a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile, WTI crude reaching $150 per barrel, any Federal Reserve policy change during July, or a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. Traders’ near-certain consensus reflects the lack of these developments through the month, with no verified diplomatic breakthroughs, energy price spikes, or central bank actions meeting the criteria. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome at the final hour remain narrow, such as an unexpected Fed announcement, a sudden oil surge, or last-minute confirmation of a qualifying geopolitical deal, though market pricing indicates these are viewed as highly improbable.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July
31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- USA or any African Country wins the World Cup
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- Fed decides any change in July
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
Volume
$97,399
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf**Nothing Ever Happens: July** resolves to “Nothing” at 100% because none of the specified triggers materialized by the July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline. Key conditions include a U.S. or African nation winning the World Cup, a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile, WTI crude reaching $150 per barrel, any Federal Reserve policy change during July, or a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. Traders’ near-certain consensus reflects the lack of these developments through the month, with no verified diplomatic breakthroughs, energy price spikes, or central bank actions meeting the criteria. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome at the final hour remain narrow, such as an unexpected Fed announcement, a sudden oil surge, or last-minute confirmation of a qualifying geopolitical deal, though market pricing indicates these are viewed as highly improbable.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July
31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- USA or any African Country wins the World Cup
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- Fed decides any change in July
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
Volume
$97,399
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf

Terkait

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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

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Parlay Perdamaian Rusia x Ukraina

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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Nothing Ever Happens: July" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nothing Ever Happens: July" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Nothing Ever Happens: July" telah menghasilkan $97.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Nothing Ever Happens: July," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Nothing Ever Happens: July" adalah "Nothing Ever Happens: July" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Nothing Ever Happens: July" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.