Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$46,270 Vol.
$46,270 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$46,270 Vol.
$46,270 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,850 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$25,421 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$46,270Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,270Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
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