**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, at 97% implied probability, reflecting convergence across multiple forecast models on overnight lows near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling support this outcome, with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming around 23–24°C after sunset. Authoritative sources including GFS-derived guidance and regional meteorological data indicate minimal deviation from climatological September baselines for the region. Uncertainties remain low given the proximity to resolution, though minor revisions could arise from localized microclimate effects or last-minute model adjustments in dew point or cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
24°C 97%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$14,121 Vol.
$14,121 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
97%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 97%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$14,121 Vol.
$14,121 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
97%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, at 97% implied probability, reflecting convergence across multiple forecast models on overnight lows near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling support this outcome, with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming around 23–24°C after sunset. Authoritative sources including GFS-derived guidance and regional meteorological data indicate minimal deviation from climatological September baselines for the region. Uncertainties remain low given the proximity to resolution, though minor revisions could arise from localized microclimate effects or last-minute model adjustments in dew point or cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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