Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across New York City on August 12, aligning with the near-even market split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Persistent high humidity from southerly flow, combined with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and urban heat retention, has kept minimum temperatures elevated above the long-term Central Park average of around 70°F. Model consensus shows little overnight relief from the recent warm pattern, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward the upper end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will clarify the final low before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 37%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 8%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 40%
74-75°F 37%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 8%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across New York City on August 12, aligning with the near-even market split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Persistent high humidity from southerly flow, combined with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and urban heat retention, has kept minimum temperatures elevated above the long-term Central Park average of around 70°F. Model consensus shows little overnight relief from the recent warm pattern, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could nudge readings toward the upper end of that range. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will clarify the final low before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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