Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and other sources indicate a daily minimum temperature near 27°C for August 7, 2026, driven by persistent summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows nighttime lows averaging 26–28°C, with recent observations confirming minima around 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or precipitation timing could shift the exact low by 1°C; traders assign the highest implied probability (53%) to 27°C based on these stable inputs ahead of the daily official reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 52%
28°C 30%
26°C 17%
25°C 4%
$20,792 Vol.
$20,792 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
52%
28°C
30%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 30%
26°C 17%
25°C 4%
$20,792 Vol.
$20,792 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
52%
28°C
30%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and other sources indicate a daily minimum temperature near 27°C for August 7, 2026, driven by persistent summer atmospheric conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows nighttime lows averaging 26–28°C, with recent observations confirming minima around 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or precipitation timing could shift the exact low by 1°C; traders assign the highest implied probability (53%) to 27°C based on these stable inputs ahead of the daily official reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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