Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a low temperature in Beijing on September 12 around 16–18°C under mostly clear skies, with light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 16.9°C and typical early-autumn conditions featuring stable high pressure rather than cold-air outbreaks. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between sub-10°C or 20°C+ outcomes at roughly 47% and 46% implied probability because ensemble spreads and minor model variations in minimum timing or wind patterns could shift the exact low by several degrees. Upcoming 48-hour updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten consensus ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
10°C or below 94%
20°C or higher 92%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
94%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
23%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
38%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
92%
10°C or below 94%
20°C or higher 92%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$218 Vol.
14%
20°C or higher
$10 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a low temperature in Beijing on September 12 around 16–18°C under mostly clear skies, with light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 16.9°C and typical early-autumn conditions featuring stable high pressure rather than cold-air outbreaks. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between sub-10°C or 20°C+ outcomes at roughly 47% and 46% implied probability because ensemble spreads and minor model variations in minimum timing or wind patterns could shift the exact low by several degrees. Upcoming 48-hour updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$228Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a low temperature in Beijing on September 12 around 16–18°C under mostly clear skies, with light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 16.9°C and typical early-autumn conditions featuring stable high pressure rather than cold-air outbreaks. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between sub-10°C or 20°C+ outcomes at roughly 47% and 46% implied probability because ensemble spreads and minor model variations in minimum timing or wind patterns could shift the exact low by several degrees. Upcoming 48-hour updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a low temperature in Beijing on September 12 around 16–18°C under mostly clear skies, with light southerly winds shifting northerly and minimal cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 16.9°C and typical early-autumn conditions featuring stable high pressure rather than cold-air outbreaks. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between sub-10°C or 20°C+ outcomes at roughly 47% and 46% implied probability because ensemble spreads and minor model variations in minimum timing or wind patterns could shift the exact low by several degrees. Upcoming 48-hour updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten consensus ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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