**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 15, 2026?
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 15, 2026?
0 states 50%
1-2 states 50%
3-4 states 50%
5-6 states 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
0 states
50%
1-2 states
50%
3-4 states
50%
5-6 states
50%
7-9 states
50%
10 or more states
50%
0 states 50%
1-2 states 50%
3-4 states 50%
5-6 states 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
0 states
$0 Vol.
50%
1-2 states
$0 Vol.
50%
3-4 states
$0 Vol.
50%
5-6 states
$0 Vol.
50%
7-9 states
$0 Vol.
50%
10 or more states
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 15, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the number of states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) during the week of September 15, 2026, remains evenly balanced across ranges because current US Drought Monitor data show limited but persistent D4 coverage amid rapidly evolving flash drought conditions.** As of early September, D4 occupies about 1.4% of U.S. area, concentrated in pockets of the central and southern Plains, Nebraska, and Colorado, driven by short-term precipitation deficits, above-normal temperatures, and high evapotranspiration rates that intensified conditions from Texas northeastward. Short-range forecasts indicate mostly dry weather through mid-month in parts of the central U.S., supporting potential expansion or persistence of D4, while CPC outlooks favor above-normal precipitation in other regions that could bring localized improvements. This divergence in precipitation timing and intensity, combined with the binary nature of D4 thresholds on the USDM scale, creates genuine uncertainty ahead of the next map release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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