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icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Politik·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Politik·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Sagal Abdi-Wali 71%

Zack Polanski 25%

Pat Callaghan 2.6%

Gio Spinella 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,928 Vol.

Sagal Abdi-Wali 71%

Zack Polanski 25%

Pat Callaghan 2.6%

Gio Spinella 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,928 Vol.

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$2,450 Vol.

71%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$5,258 Vol.

25%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$199 Vol.

3%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$202 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$219 Vol.

2%

icon for Andrew Feinstein

Andrew Feinstein

$1,671 Vol.

2%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$219 Vol.

2%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$199 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$181 Vol.

2%

icon for James White

James White

$198 Vol.

2%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$249 Vol.

1%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$181 Vol.

1%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$741 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$187 Vol.

1%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$199 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sagal Abdi-Wali leads trader consensus at 71.5% for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP. As Camden Council leader and a former constituency Labour Party chair, she is widely viewed as the frontrunner for Labour’s nomination, with the party’s selection process concluding on September 9. The seat has remained in Labour hands since its creation in 1983, providing a structural advantage despite the 2024 result showing reduced support amid independent and Green challenges. Zack Polanski’s September 3 announcement as the likely Green candidate has lifted that party’s implied probability to 24.5%, reflecting local Green gains in the May 2026 Camden elections and the party’s targeting of the constituency. Lower-priced candidates, including independents and smaller-party figures, face structural barriers in a contest expected to center on Labour versus Green dynamics once nominations close.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$13,928
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sagal Abdi-Wali leads trader consensus at 71.5% for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP. As Camden Council leader and a former constituency Labour Party chair, she is widely viewed as the frontrunner for Labour’s nomination, with the party’s selection process concluding on September 9. The seat has remained in Labour hands since its creation in 1983, providing a structural advantage despite the 2024 result showing reduced support amid independent and Green challenges. Zack Polanski’s September 3 announcement as the likely Green candidate has lifted that party’s implied probability to 24.5%, reflecting local Green gains in the May 2026 Camden elections and the party’s targeting of the constituency. Lower-priced candidates, including independents and smaller-party figures, face structural barriers in a contest expected to center on Labour versus Green dynamics once nominations close.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$13,928
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sagal Abdi-Wali" di 71%, diikuti oleh "Zack Polanski" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 71¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $13.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" adalah "Sagal Abdi-Wali" di 71%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Zack Polanski" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.