**Trader consensus centers on 30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City on August 6, reflecting August climatology of 29–30°C average highs under the influence of the wet season.** Afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near this range, while occasional clearer periods allow brief spikes to 31°C. Current model guidance and recent observations show no significant deviation from these norms, with humidity, trade-wind patterns, and thunderstorm timing as the dominant moderating factors. Lower probabilities for 32°C or above align with the low historical frequency of such extremes in early August, while sub-29°C outcomes remain possible only with unusually persistent cloudiness or heavier rainfall. Updated short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on August 6?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
22%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
22%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City on August 6, reflecting August climatology of 29–30°C average highs under the influence of the wet season.** Afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near this range, while occasional clearer periods allow brief spikes to 31°C. Current model guidance and recent observations show no significant deviation from these norms, with humidity, trade-wind patterns, and thunderstorm timing as the dominant moderating factors. Lower probabilities for 32°C or above align with the low historical frequency of such extremes in early August, while sub-29°C outcomes remain possible only with unusually persistent cloudiness or heavier rainfall. Updated short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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