Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 9?
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 25%
80-81°F 20%
88-89°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
4%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
10%
94°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 25%
80-81°F 20%
88-89°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
$0 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$45 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
10%
94°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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