Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a September 11 high near 18–19 °C for Munich under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and modest moisture that will cap daytime heating and produce only brief clearing. These conditions sit below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3 °C, yet the market’s near-even split between 20 °C and 21 °C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day breaks that could allow an extra degree or two of insolation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at the official station, where even small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or radiative effects can shift the outcome between these closely matched bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
21°C or higher 45%
20°C 39%
19°C 16%
18°C 5%
BARU
$17,531 Vol.
BARU
$17,531 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
45%
21°C or higher 45%
20°C 39%
19°C 16%
18°C 5%
BARU
$17,531 Vol.
BARU
$17,531 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
11°C or below
$955 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$835 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$655 Vol.
2%
18°C
$2,124 Vol.
5%
19°C
$2,872 Vol.
16%
20°C
$1,638 Vol.
39%
21°C or higher
$4,564 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a September 11 high near 18–19 °C for Munich under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and modest moisture that will cap daytime heating and produce only brief clearing. These conditions sit below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3 °C, yet the market’s near-even split between 20 °C and 21 °C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day breaks that could allow an extra degree or two of insolation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at the official station, where even small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or radiative effects can shift the outcome between these closely matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,531Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a September 11 high near 18–19 °C for Munich under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and modest moisture that will cap daytime heating and produce only brief clearing. These conditions sit below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3 °C, yet the market’s near-even split between 20 °C and 21 °C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day breaks that could allow an extra degree or two of insolation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at the official station, where even small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or radiative effects can shift the outcome between these closely matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,531Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF project a September 11 high near 18–19 °C for Munich under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and modest moisture that will cap daytime heating and produce only brief clearing. These conditions sit below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.3 °C, yet the market’s near-even split between 20 °C and 21 °C+ outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in cloud timing and any late-day breaks that could allow an extra degree or two of insolation. Resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at the official station, where even small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or radiative effects can shift the outcome between these closely matched bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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