**Trader sentiment for the Milan September 13 highest temperature market strongly favors 26°C (81.5% implied probability) because official forecasts and real-time observations converge on a daytime maximum near that level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Yr.no, Pogoda.ru, and model outputs, project a high of 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 1–2 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. Current conditions on September 13 show temperatures rising steadily through the morning and early afternoon (reaching the mid-20s°C by 1–2 PM local time), consistent with these projections and typical late-summer Po Valley insolation under stable high pressure. A smaller probability mass sits on 27°C (14%) as some model runs and brief afternoon warming allow for a marginal exceedance, while outcomes of 25°C or below, or 28°C and higher, remain at 0.1% each due to the narrow forecast spread and absence of extreme drivers. No significant synoptic changes—such as frontal passages or cloud cover increases—have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the market-implied odds aligned with the consensus forecast. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Milan-area stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 13?
26°C 71%
27°C 27%
28°C 1.3%
19°C or below <1%
$23,818 Vol.
$23,818 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
71%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 71%
27°C 27%
28°C 1.3%
19°C or below <1%
$23,818 Vol.
$23,818 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
71%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the Milan September 13 highest temperature market strongly favors 26°C (81.5% implied probability) because official forecasts and real-time observations converge on a daytime maximum near that level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Yr.no, Pogoda.ru, and model outputs, project a high of 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 1–2 m/s, and negligible precipitation risk. Current conditions on September 13 show temperatures rising steadily through the morning and early afternoon (reaching the mid-20s°C by 1–2 PM local time), consistent with these projections and typical late-summer Po Valley insolation under stable high pressure. A smaller probability mass sits on 27°C (14%) as some model runs and brief afternoon warming allow for a marginal exceedance, while outcomes of 25°C or below, or 28°C and higher, remain at 0.1% each due to the narrow forecast spread and absence of extreme drivers. No significant synoptic changes—such as frontal passages or cloud cover increases—have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the market-implied odds aligned with the consensus forecast. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Milan-area stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan