Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch meteorological service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C, as afternoon observations hover around 19-20°C and climatological norms for mid-September average 19.5°C. Stable high pressure and lack of strong advection have kept temperatures from deviating significantly, with minimal model spread supporting the 87% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for a late surge toward 22°C against the likelihood of persistent cloud cover limiting further warming before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
21°C 89%
22°C 12%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$38,695 Vol.
$38,695 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
89%
22°C
12%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 89%
22°C 12%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$38,695 Vol.
$38,695 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$887 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,044 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,198 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,461 Vol.
89%
22°C
$6,028 Vol.
12%
23°C
$2,972 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch meteorological service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C, as afternoon observations hover around 19-20°C and climatological norms for mid-September average 19.5°C. Stable high pressure and lack of strong advection have kept temperatures from deviating significantly, with minimal model spread supporting the 87% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for a late surge toward 22°C against the likelihood of persistent cloud cover limiting further warming before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$38,695Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch meteorological service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C, as afternoon observations hover around 19-20°C and climatological norms for mid-September average 19.5°C. Stable high pressure and lack of strong advection have kept temperatures from deviating significantly, with minimal model spread supporting the 87% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for a late surge toward 22°C against the likelihood of persistent cloud cover limiting further warming before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,695Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch meteorological service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high near 21°C in Amsterdam on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and westerly winds of 10-15 km/h. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 21°C, as afternoon observations hover around 19-20°C and climatological norms for mid-September average 19.5°C. Stable high pressure and lack of strong advection have kept temperatures from deviating significantly, with minimal model spread supporting the 87% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for a late surge toward 22°C against the likelihood of persistent cloud cover limiting further warming before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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