**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to a high near 26–28°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This setup favors modest daytime heating from overnight lows around 19–20°C, consistent with early September climatology when average highs reach about 24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept recent days stable, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter the thermal profile before resolution. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 26°C and 41.5% for 25°C aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 27°C or above acknowledge typical model spread and potential for slight underperformance at official stations. Updated model guidance overnight will provide the next key check on whether probabilities shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
26°C 57%
25°C 39%
27°C 4%
24°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
39%
26°C
57%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 57%
25°C 39%
27°C 4%
24°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$470 Vol.
3%
25°C
$683 Vol.
39%
26°C
$1,423 Vol.
57%
27°C
$418 Vol.
4%
28°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to a high near 26–28°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This setup favors modest daytime heating from overnight lows around 19–20°C, consistent with early September climatology when average highs reach about 24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept recent days stable, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter the thermal profile before resolution. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 26°C and 41.5% for 25°C aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 27°C or above acknowledge typical model spread and potential for slight underperformance at official stations. Updated model guidance overnight will provide the next key check on whether probabilities shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,756Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to a high near 26–28°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This setup favors modest daytime heating from overnight lows around 19–20°C, consistent with early September climatology when average highs reach about 24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept recent days stable, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter the thermal profile before resolution. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 26°C and 41.5% for 25°C aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 27°C or above acknowledge typical model spread and potential for slight underperformance at official stations. Updated model guidance overnight will provide the next key check on whether probabilities shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,756Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to a high near 26–28°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This setup favors modest daytime heating from overnight lows around 19–20°C, consistent with early September climatology when average highs reach about 24–25°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept recent days stable, with no significant frontal systems or moisture influx expected to alter the thermal profile before resolution. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 26°C and 41.5% for 25°C aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower odds for 27°C or above acknowledge typical model spread and potential for slight underperformance at official stations. Updated model guidance overnight will provide the next key check on whether probabilities shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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