Traders have converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13 due to real-time observational data from official meteorological stations aligning with that exact threshold. Regional weather models and surface analyses show stable high-pressure conditions limiting afternoon peaks near this value, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Anatolia where daily maxima often cluster between 30–34°C under clear skies and light winds. The near-100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty window on the day of measurement, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than forecasts. Minor revisions in post-processing or microclimate variations at different sites remain the only realistic paths to an alternate outcome, though historical data indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C once preliminary reports stabilize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,300 Vol.
$31,300 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,300 Vol.
$31,300 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
$847 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$805 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$947 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,225 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,524 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,387 Vol.
100%
34°C
$4,949 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13 due to real-time observational data from official meteorological stations aligning with that exact threshold. Regional weather models and surface analyses show stable high-pressure conditions limiting afternoon peaks near this value, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Anatolia where daily maxima often cluster between 30–34°C under clear skies and light winds. The near-100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty window on the day of measurement, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than forecasts. Minor revisions in post-processing or microclimate variations at different sites remain the only realistic paths to an alternate outcome, though historical data indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,300Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13 due to real-time observational data from official meteorological stations aligning with that exact threshold. Regional weather models and surface analyses show stable high-pressure conditions limiting afternoon peaks near this value, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Anatolia where daily maxima often cluster between 30–34°C under clear skies and light winds. The near-100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty window on the day of measurement, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than forecasts. Minor revisions in post-processing or microclimate variations at different sites remain the only realistic paths to an alternate outcome, though historical data indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,300Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13 due to real-time observational data from official meteorological stations aligning with that exact threshold. Regional weather models and surface analyses show stable high-pressure conditions limiting afternoon peaks near this value, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Anatolia where daily maxima often cluster between 30–34°C under clear skies and light winds. The near-100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty window on the day of measurement, with resolution hinging on verified station readings rather than forecasts. Minor revisions in post-processing or microclimate variations at different sites remain the only realistic paths to an alternate outcome, though historical data indicate such shifts rarely exceed 1°C once preliminary reports stabilize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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