The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent 60-plus percent margins in prior cycles, underpins the 94 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Frederica Wilson's May 2025 retirement opened the Miami-area seat, prompting an August 18 Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Shevrin Jones and other party-backed contenders who benefit from the area's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. A Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with minimal historical support. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a dramatic national realignment, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$24,810 Vol.
$24,810 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$24,810 Vol.
$24,810 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,100 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$14,710 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent 60-plus percent margins in prior cycles, underpins the 94 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Frederica Wilson's May 2025 retirement opened the Miami-area seat, prompting an August 18 Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Shevrin Jones and other party-backed contenders who benefit from the area's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. A Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with minimal historical support. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a dramatic national realignment, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$24,810Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent 60-plus percent margins in prior cycles, underpins the 94 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Frederica Wilson's May 2025 retirement opened the Miami-area seat, prompting an August 18 Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Shevrin Jones and other party-backed contenders who benefit from the area's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. A Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with minimal historical support. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a dramatic national realignment, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,810Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent 60-plus percent margins in prior cycles, underpins the 94 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Frederica Wilson's May 2025 retirement opened the Miami-area seat, prompting an August 18 Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Shevrin Jones and other party-backed contenders who benefit from the area's voter registration edge and turnout patterns. A Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with minimal historical support. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require an unforeseen scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a dramatic national realignment, or sustained turnout anomalies that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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