Recent low-volume stretches on X have positioned the 40-64 tweet bracket as the market frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for the September 10-12 window. Musk’s verified pace over the prior three-day periods settled at 40-64 and below 40, reflecting a calmer cadence of roughly 13-21 posts daily amid routine Tesla updates, platform commentary, and policy replies rather than high-engagement spikes. Traders interpret this recent pattern, combined with no immediate major product launches or external catalysts, as the strongest signal for moderate output. The next chart updates and any surprise announcements could still shift momentum toward higher brackets if activity rebounds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 50%
65-89 29%
<40 15%
90-114 7%
$64,787 Vol.
$64,787 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<40
15%
40-64
50%
65-89
29%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 29%
<40 15%
90-114 7%
$64,787 Vol.
$64,787 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<40
$14,907 Vol.
15%
40-64
$12,913 Vol.
50%
65-89
$13,010 Vol.
29%
90-114
$5,813 Vol.
7%
115-139
$3,614 Vol.
2%
140-164
$6,761 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$3,843 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,591 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$718 Vol.
<1%
240+
$618 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent low-volume stretches on X have positioned the 40-64 tweet bracket as the market frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for the September 10-12 window. Musk’s verified pace over the prior three-day periods settled at 40-64 and below 40, reflecting a calmer cadence of roughly 13-21 posts daily amid routine Tesla updates, platform commentary, and policy replies rather than high-engagement spikes. Traders interpret this recent pattern, combined with no immediate major product launches or external catalysts, as the strongest signal for moderate output. The next chart updates and any surprise announcements could still shift momentum toward higher brackets if activity rebounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$64,787Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent low-volume stretches on X have positioned the 40-64 tweet bracket as the market frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for the September 10-12 window. Musk’s verified pace over the prior three-day periods settled at 40-64 and below 40, reflecting a calmer cadence of roughly 13-21 posts daily amid routine Tesla updates, platform commentary, and policy replies rather than high-engagement spikes. Traders interpret this recent pattern, combined with no immediate major product launches or external catalysts, as the strongest signal for moderate output. The next chart updates and any surprise announcements could still shift momentum toward higher brackets if activity rebounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$64,787Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent low-volume stretches on X have positioned the 40-64 tweet bracket as the market frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for the September 10-12 window. Musk’s verified pace over the prior three-day periods settled at 40-64 and below 40, reflecting a calmer cadence of roughly 13-21 posts daily amid routine Tesla updates, platform commentary, and policy replies rather than high-engagement spikes. Traders interpret this recent pattern, combined with no immediate major product launches or external catalysts, as the strongest signal for moderate output. The next chart updates and any surprise announcements could still shift momentum toward higher brackets if activity rebounds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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