Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary for the 36th congressional district with roughly 61 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or unusual turnout patterns in Los Angeles County, though the structural advantages and primary results have kept the implied probability stable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$33,395 Vol.
$33,395 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$33,395 Vol.
$33,395 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,949 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$27,446 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary for the 36th congressional district with roughly 61 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or unusual turnout patterns in Los Angeles County, though the structural advantages and primary results have kept the implied probability stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,395Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary for the 36th congressional district with roughly 61 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or unusual turnout patterns in Los Angeles County, though the structural advantages and primary results have kept the implied probability stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,395Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu secured the top spot in California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary for the 36th congressional district with roughly 61 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Houston Brignano to the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant national political realignments, or unusual turnout patterns in Los Angeles County, though the structural advantages and primary results have kept the implied probability stable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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