All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned ratings with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch most recently affirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2026, and subsequent agency reviews through mid-2026 have cited no negative watches. Sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs remain in Congressional Budget Office projections, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or debt-ceiling confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. Traders assign an 84.5 percent implied probability to no further downgrade before 2027, reflecting this institutional stability and the absence of catalysts that have historically preceded rating actions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
16% peluang
$12,816 Vol.
$12,816 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
16% peluang
$12,816 Vol.
$12,816 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned ratings with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch most recently affirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2026, and subsequent agency reviews through mid-2026 have cited no negative watches. Sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs remain in Congressional Budget Office projections, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or debt-ceiling confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. Traders assign an 84.5 percent implied probability to no further downgrade before 2027, reflecting this institutional stability and the absence of catalysts that have historically preceded rating actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$12,816Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned ratings with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch most recently affirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2026, and subsequent agency reviews through mid-2026 have cited no negative watches. Sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs remain in Congressional Budget Office projections, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or debt-ceiling confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. Traders assign an 84.5 percent implied probability to no further downgrade before 2027, reflecting this institutional stability and the absence of catalysts that have historically preceded rating actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,816Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned ratings with S&P and Fitch at one notch below AAA. Fitch most recently affirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2026, and subsequent agency reviews through mid-2026 have cited no negative watches. Sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs remain in Congressional Budget Office projections, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or debt-ceiling confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. Traders assign an 84.5 percent implied probability to no further downgrade before 2027, reflecting this institutional stability and the absence of catalysts that have historically preceded rating actions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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