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icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 48%

Sergey Brin 32.5%

Steve Ballmer 24.3%

Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%

Polymarket

$46,104 Vol.

Larry Page 48%

Sergey Brin 32.5%

Steve Ballmer 24.3%

Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%

Polymarket

$46,104 Vol.

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$21,063 Vol.

68%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$7,498 Vol.

33%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$1,193 Vol.

24%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$592 Vol.

10%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$913 Vol.

10%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$896 Vol.

5%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$1,410 Vol.

21%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,887 Vol.

22%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$905 Vol.

22%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$9,746 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied position at 68% for ending 2026 as the world’s second-richest individual, reflecting his consistent ranking directly behind Elon Musk on Forbes and Bloomberg indexes. Alphabet’s stock performance, driven by advertising growth and AI infrastructure expansion, has anchored Page’s wealth near $280–295 billion while Musk’s fortune exceeds $890 billion following SpaceX’s 2026 IPO and related gains. Jeff Bezos and Sergey Brin trail in the 30–35% range amid Amazon and Alphabet share movements, with Steve Ballmer, Warren Buffett, and Bernard Arnault further back as their holdings face steadier or slower trajectories. Traders appear focused on near-term tech sector momentum and any late-year volatility in major equity holdings ahead of the December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$46,104
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied position at 68% for ending 2026 as the world’s second-richest individual, reflecting his consistent ranking directly behind Elon Musk on Forbes and Bloomberg indexes. Alphabet’s stock performance, driven by advertising growth and AI infrastructure expansion, has anchored Page’s wealth near $280–295 billion while Musk’s fortune exceeds $890 billion following SpaceX’s 2026 IPO and related gains. Jeff Bezos and Sergey Brin trail in the 30–35% range amid Amazon and Alphabet share movements, with Steve Ballmer, Warren Buffett, and Bernard Arnault further back as their holdings face steadier or slower trajectories. Traders appear focused on near-term tech sector momentum and any late-year volatility in major equity holdings ahead of the December 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$46,104
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Larry Page" di 68%, diikuti oleh "Jeff Bezos" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 68¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2nd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $46.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2nd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Larry Page" di 68%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jeff Bezos" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.