Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.62 trillion reflects robust Azure and Microsoft Cloud revenue growth of 26-43% year-over-year in recent quarters, fueled by AI demand and a record $678 billion cloud backlog. However, elevated capital expenditures for data centers and infrastructure—projected at $80-146 billion for fiscal 2026—have raised margin concerns and contributed to share-price volatility, with a single July earnings-driven surge adding nearly $450 billion in value. Traders weigh accelerating AI monetization and productivity segment gains against competitive pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty, leaving all market-cap buckets through year-end 2026 at evenly matched implied odds that underscore the balance between revenue momentum and investment costs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
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BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50T
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$2.50-$3.00T
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$3.00-$3.50T
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$3.50-$4.00T
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$4.00-$4.50T
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$4.50-$5.00T
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$5.00T+
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<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50T
$0 Vol.
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$2.50-$3.00T
$0 Vol.
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$3.00-$3.50T
$0 Vol.
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$3.50-$4.00T
$0 Vol.
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$4.00-$4.50T
$0 Vol.
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$4.50-$5.00T
$0 Vol.
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$5.00T+
$0 Vol.
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This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.62 trillion reflects robust Azure and Microsoft Cloud revenue growth of 26-43% year-over-year in recent quarters, fueled by AI demand and a record $678 billion cloud backlog. However, elevated capital expenditures for data centers and infrastructure—projected at $80-146 billion for fiscal 2026—have raised margin concerns and contributed to share-price volatility, with a single July earnings-driven surge adding nearly $450 billion in value. Traders weigh accelerating AI monetization and productivity segment gains against competitive pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty, leaving all market-cap buckets through year-end 2026 at evenly matched implied odds that underscore the balance between revenue momentum and investment costs.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.62 trillion reflects robust Azure and Microsoft Cloud revenue growth of 26-43% year-over-year in recent quarters, fueled by AI demand and a record $678 billion cloud backlog. However, elevated capital expenditures for data centers and infrastructure—projected at $80-146 billion for fiscal 2026—have raised margin concerns and contributed to share-price volatility, with a single July earnings-driven surge adding nearly $450 billion in value. Traders weigh accelerating AI monetization and productivity segment gains against competitive pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty, leaving all market-cap buckets through year-end 2026 at evenly matched implied odds that underscore the balance between revenue momentum and investment costs.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.62 trillion reflects robust Azure and Microsoft Cloud revenue growth of 26-43% year-over-year in recent quarters, fueled by AI demand and a record $678 billion cloud backlog. However, elevated capital expenditures for data centers and infrastructure—projected at $80-146 billion for fiscal 2026—have raised margin concerns and contributed to share-price volatility, with a single July earnings-driven surge adding nearly $450 billion in value. Traders weigh accelerating AI monetization and productivity segment gains against competitive pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty, leaving all market-cap buckets through year-end 2026 at evenly matched implied odds that underscore the balance between revenue momentum and investment costs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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