**No** at 88.5% reflects trader consensus that the U.S. administration under Trump will not publicly announce efforts to gain sovereignty or control over any Alberta territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Early 2026 meetings between State Department staff and Alberta separatist groups focused on potential independence referendums, but officials conveyed no commitments, endorsements of statehood, or U.S. territorial claims, and further contacts were ruled out. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized energy trade talks amid new tariffs rather than separation or U.S. integration, while Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly stressed expectations of respect for Canadian sovereignty. Separatist leaders themselves have rejected statehood in favor of standalone status. Absent any legislative proposals, summit announcements, or direct statements signaling acquisition intent, markets view formal U.S. territorial moves as unlikely within the window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10% संभावना
नया
नया
30 दिस, 2026
10% संभावना
नया
नया
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No** at 88.5% reflects trader consensus that the U.S. administration under Trump will not publicly announce efforts to gain sovereignty or control over any Alberta territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Early 2026 meetings between State Department staff and Alberta separatist groups focused on potential independence referendums, but officials conveyed no commitments, endorsements of statehood, or U.S. territorial claims, and further contacts were ruled out. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized energy trade talks amid new tariffs rather than separation or U.S. integration, while Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly stressed expectations of respect for Canadian sovereignty. Separatist leaders themselves have rejected statehood in favor of standalone status.
Absent any legislative proposals, summit announcements, or direct statements signaling acquisition intent, markets view formal U.S. territorial moves as unlikely within the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,844समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No** at 88.5% reflects trader consensus that the U.S. administration under Trump will not publicly announce efforts to gain sovereignty or control over any Alberta territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Early 2026 meetings between State Department staff and Alberta separatist groups focused on potential independence referendums, but officials conveyed no commitments, endorsements of statehood, or U.S. territorial claims, and further contacts were ruled out. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized energy trade talks amid new tariffs rather than separation or U.S. integration, while Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly stressed expectations of respect for Canadian sovereignty. Separatist leaders themselves have rejected statehood in favor of standalone status.
Absent any legislative proposals, summit announcements, or direct statements signaling acquisition intent, markets view formal U.S. territorial moves as unlikely within the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$3,844समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No** at 88.5% reflects trader consensus that the U.S. administration under Trump will not publicly announce efforts to gain sovereignty or control over any Alberta territory by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Early 2026 meetings between State Department staff and Alberta separatist groups focused on potential independence referendums, but officials conveyed no commitments, endorsements of statehood, or U.S. territorial claims, and further contacts were ruled out. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has prioritized energy trade talks amid new tariffs rather than separation or U.S. integration, while Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly stressed expectations of respect for Canadian sovereignty. Separatist leaders themselves have rejected statehood in favor of standalone status. Absent any legislative proposals, summit announcements, or direct statements signaling acquisition intent, markets view formal U.S. territorial moves as unlikely within the window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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