The US conducted extensive joint airstrikes with Israel against Iranian military targets, leadership, and infrastructure beginning February 28, 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting retaliatory missile and drone exchanges plus Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The conflict shifted to negotiated ceasefires and a June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum committing both sides to end military operations, reopen shipping lanes, and pursue further nuclear talks, followed by stalled diplomacy and new US sanctions threats in August 2026. These developments reflect a preference for air and naval pressure, proxy containment, and economic measures over ground troop commitments, sustaining trader consensus on low odds of a US invasion before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
क्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
हाँ
17% संभावना
$59,692,520 वॉल्यूम
$59,692,520 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
17% संभावना
$59,692,520 वॉल्यूम
$59,692,520 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The US conducted extensive joint airstrikes with Israel against Iranian military targets, leadership, and infrastructure beginning February 28, 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting retaliatory missile and drone exchanges plus Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The conflict shifted to negotiated ceasefires and a June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum committing both sides to end military operations, reopen shipping lanes, and pursue further nuclear talks, followed by stalled diplomacy and new US sanctions threats in August 2026. These developments reflect a preference for air and naval pressure, proxy containment, and economic measures over ground troop commitments, sustaining trader consensus on low odds of a US invasion before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$59,692,520समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The US conducted extensive joint airstrikes with Israel against Iranian military targets, leadership, and infrastructure beginning February 28, 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting retaliatory missile and drone exchanges plus Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The conflict shifted to negotiated ceasefires and a June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum committing both sides to end military operations, reopen shipping lanes, and pursue further nuclear talks, followed by stalled diplomacy and new US sanctions threats in August 2026. These developments reflect a preference for air and naval pressure, proxy containment, and economic measures over ground troop commitments, sustaining trader consensus on low odds of a US invasion before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
वॉल्यूम
$59,692,528समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US conducted extensive joint airstrikes with Israel against Iranian military targets, leadership, and infrastructure beginning February 28, 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompting retaliatory missile and drone exchanges plus Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The conflict shifted to negotiated ceasefires and a June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum committing both sides to end military operations, reopen shipping lanes, and pursue further nuclear talks, followed by stalled diplomacy and new US sanctions threats in August 2026. These developments reflect a preference for air and naval pressure, proxy containment, and economic measures over ground troop commitments, sustaining trader consensus on low odds of a US invasion before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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