Russia has sustained a near-constant aerial campaign against Kyiv for more than ten days through September 2026, featuring jet-powered drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles that have struck residential buildings, infrastructure, and on September 4 the headquarters of Ukraine’s SBU security service in central Kyiv, injuring at least twelve people. These attacks continue despite Ukrainian President Zelensky’s offer of a reciprocal pause during the impending visits by U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow and Kyiv for renewed peace talks. The pattern of strikes on the capital region, including multiple overnight barrages in early September that killed civilians and damaged property in Kyiv and Boryspil, forms the primary driver of trader assessments on near-term targeting markets. Upcoming diplomatic meetings and any reciprocal de-escalation signals could influence resolution probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या रूस कीव को निशाना बनाएगा...?
क्या रूस कीव को निशाना बनाएगा...?
$15,266 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
5 सितंबर
42%
6 सितंबर
26%
7 सितंबर
50%
8 सितंबर
63%
9 सितंबर
76%
10 सितंबर
71%
11 सितंबर
71%
12 सितंबर
70%
13 सितंबर
72%
14 सितंबर
70%
15 सितंबर
70%
16 सितंबर
70%
17 सितंबर
70%
18 सितंबर
70%
19 सितंबर
72%
20 सितंबर
70%
21 सितंबर
71%
22 सितंबर
70%
23 सितंबर
70%
24 सितंबर
70%
25 सितंबर
68%
26 सितंबर
61%
27 सितंबर
64%
28 सितंबर
63%
29 सितंबर
68%
30 सितंबर
63%
$15,266 वॉल्यूम
5 सितंबर
$3,721 वॉल्यूम
42%
6 सितंबर
$2,831 वॉल्यूम
26%
7 सितंबर
$464 वॉल्यूम
50%
8 सितंबर
$136 वॉल्यूम
63%
9 सितंबर
$63 वॉल्यूम
76%
10 सितंबर
$41 वॉल्यूम
71%
11 सितंबर
$26 वॉल्यूम
71%
12 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
13 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
72%
14 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
15 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
16 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
17 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
18 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
19 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
72%
20 सितंबर
$741 वॉल्यूम
70%
21 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
71%
22 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
23 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
24 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
70%
25 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
68%
26 सितंबर
$105 वॉल्यूम
61%
27 सितंबर
$25 वॉल्यूम
64%
28 सितंबर
$49 वॉल्यूम
63%
29 सितंबर
$246 वॉल्यूम
68%
30 सितंबर
$91 वॉल्यूम
63%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.
The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia has sustained a near-constant aerial campaign against Kyiv for more than ten days through September 2026, featuring jet-powered drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles that have struck residential buildings, infrastructure, and on September 4 the headquarters of Ukraine’s SBU security service in central Kyiv, injuring at least twelve people. These attacks continue despite Ukrainian President Zelensky’s offer of a reciprocal pause during the impending visits by U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow and Kyiv for renewed peace talks. The pattern of strikes on the capital region, including multiple overnight barrages in early September that killed civilians and damaged property in Kyiv and Boryspil, forms the primary driver of trader assessments on near-term targeting markets. Upcoming diplomatic meetings and any reciprocal de-escalation signals could influence resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.
The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.
The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,266समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 7:31 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.
The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia has sustained a near-constant aerial campaign against Kyiv for more than ten days through September 2026, featuring jet-powered drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles that have struck residential buildings, infrastructure, and on September 4 the headquarters of Ukraine’s SBU security service in central Kyiv, injuring at least twelve people. These attacks continue despite Ukrainian President Zelensky’s offer of a reciprocal pause during the impending visits by U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow and Kyiv for renewed peace talks. The pattern of strikes on the capital region, including multiple overnight barrages in early September that killed civilians and damaged property in Kyiv and Boryspil, forms the primary driver of trader assessments on near-term targeting markets. Upcoming diplomatic meetings and any reciprocal de-escalation signals could influence resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.
The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered.
A military action will be considered directed at Kyiv if it targets any location within the city of Kyiv.
The occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, timing, or target of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, timing, and target of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Kyiv time) after the specified date. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Ukraine and Russia and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$15,266समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 7:31 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Russia has sustained a near-constant aerial campaign against Kyiv for more than ten days through September 2026, featuring jet-powered drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles that have struck residential buildings, infrastructure, and on September 4 the headquarters of Ukraine’s SBU security service in central Kyiv, injuring at least twelve people. These attacks continue despite Ukrainian President Zelensky’s offer of a reciprocal pause during the impending visits by U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow and Kyiv for renewed peace talks. The pattern of strikes on the capital region, including multiple overnight barrages in early September that killed civilians and damaged property in Kyiv and Boryspil, forms the primary driver of trader assessments on near-term targeting markets. Upcoming diplomatic meetings and any reciprocal de-escalation signals could influence resolution probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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