The race for fourth place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election remains tightly contested among LDPR, New People, and several smaller parties, reflecting comparable polling support in the low double digits or below amid a mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-member districts. Recent candidate registration confirmed participation by 11 parties, including LDPR, KPRF, SRZP, New People, Rodina, and others, while Yabloko's exclusion narrowed the field. June and August surveys show LDPR and New People hovering near or above the 5% threshold with modest gains or stability, SRZP and Rodina trailing, and United Russia expected to finish well ahead. Trader consensus around 40-50% for the leaders captures uncertainty over final vote shares, turnout patterns, and how single-member results could reorder positions among the systemic opposition parties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ रूस (LDPR) 44%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 40%
अ जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP) 11%
रोडिना 5%

लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ रूस (LDPR)
43%

न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
40%

अ जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
14%

रोडिना
5%

सिविक प्लेटफ़ॉर्म (जीपी)
3%

रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
1%

यूनाइटेड रशिया (ईआर)
1%
लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ रूस (LDPR) 44%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 40%
अ जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP) 11%
रोडिना 5%

लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ रूस (LDPR)
43%

न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
40%

अ जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
14%

रोडिना
5%

सिविक प्लेटफ़ॉर्म (जीपी)
3%

रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
1%

यूनाइटेड रशिया (ईआर)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The race for fourth place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election remains tightly contested among LDPR, New People, and several smaller parties, reflecting comparable polling support in the low double digits or below amid a mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-member districts. Recent candidate registration confirmed participation by 11 parties, including LDPR, KPRF, SRZP, New People, Rodina, and others, while Yabloko's exclusion narrowed the field. June and August surveys show LDPR and New People hovering near or above the 5% threshold with modest gains or stability, SRZP and Rodina trailing, and United Russia expected to finish well ahead. Trader consensus around 40-50% for the leaders captures uncertainty over final vote shares, turnout patterns, and how single-member results could reorder positions among the systemic opposition parties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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