Anthony DiLorenzo holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 8, 2026, Republican primary in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District. His position stems from President Trump’s July endorsement, subsequent backing from former U.S. Representative Frank Guinta, and rapid consolidation of support among party activists and donors. Fundraising reports through June showed DiLorenzo far ahead of rivals. Hollie Noveletsky, a 2024 candidate and former state party vice chair, remains the clearest alternative but has not closed the gap despite continued campaign events. Melissa Bailey withdrew and endorsed DiLorenzo, while Brian Cole and Elizabeth Girard register minimal support in available polling and filings. The primary’s outcome hinges on turnout among Republican voters in the coming weeks.