Trump’s August 13 endorsement of Catalina Lauf as an “America First Patriot” and former Commerce Department appointee has driven her rapid rise to an 83% implied probability in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 19th Congressional District. The crowded field to replace Byron Donalds, who is running for governor, previously showed a wide-open contest in June and early August polling, with Jim Schwartzel and Jim Oberweis holding narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Post-endorsement surveys and trader positioning now place Schwartzel at roughly 12% and Oberweis near 3%, while former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and others remain in the low single digits or below. Additional support from sitting Florida Republicans has reinforced Lauf’s frontrunner status ahead of the vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकातालिना लॉफ 83%
जिम श्वार्टज़ेल 12.6%
जिम ओबेरवाइस 3.1%
मैडिसन कॉथॉर्न <1%
$75,552 वॉल्यूम
$75,552 वॉल्यूम
कातालिना लॉफ
83%
जिम श्वार्टज़ेल
13%
जिम ओबेरवाइस
3%
मैडिसन कॉथॉर्न
1%
बॉब रोमल
<1%
स्पेंसर रोच
<1%
कातालिना लॉफ 83%
जिम श्वार्टज़ेल 12.6%
जिम ओबेरवाइस 3.1%
मैडिसन कॉथॉर्न <1%
$75,552 वॉल्यूम
$75,552 वॉल्यूम
कातालिना लॉफ
83%
जिम श्वार्टज़ेल
13%
जिम ओबेरवाइस
3%
मैडिसन कॉथॉर्न
1%
बॉब रोमल
<1%
स्पेंसर रोच
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump’s August 13 endorsement of Catalina Lauf as an “America First Patriot” and former Commerce Department appointee has driven her rapid rise to an 83% implied probability in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 19th Congressional District. The crowded field to replace Byron Donalds, who is running for governor, previously showed a wide-open contest in June and early August polling, with Jim Schwartzel and Jim Oberweis holding narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Post-endorsement surveys and trader positioning now place Schwartzel at roughly 12% and Oberweis near 3%, while former Representatives Madison Cawthorn and others remain in the low single digits or below. Additional support from sitting Florida Republicans has reinforced Lauf’s frontrunner status ahead of the vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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