The heavily Democratic lean of Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and rated D+21 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the Democratic Party's 96.8% market share in the WI-02 House election. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination with ease in the August 11, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Douglas Alexander by a wide margin and facing no Republican opponent on the general election ballot for November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Pocan's 70%+ margin in 2024. Traders assign the Republican Party just 2.4% amid minimal opposition and the district's structural partisan advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected late Republican filing could still shift odds, though such developments remain unlikely based on current filings and campaign activity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$99,924 वॉल्यूम
$99,924 वॉल्यूम
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$99,924 वॉल्यूम
$99,924 वॉल्यूम
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and rated D+21 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the Democratic Party's 96.8% market share in the WI-02 House election. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination with ease in the August 11, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Douglas Alexander by a wide margin and facing no Republican opponent on the general election ballot for November 3. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Pocan's 70%+ margin in 2024. Traders assign the Republican Party just 2.4% amid minimal opposition and the district's structural partisan advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected late Republican filing could still shift odds, though such developments remain unlikely based on current filings and campaign activity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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